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The Union Budget 2013 has been marginally positive for large flat steel companies with the export duty on galvanized steel sheets being reduced from 7.5% to NIL. Additionally the proposed Investment allowance of 15% to manufacturing companies investing > Rs1bn in plant and machinery is expected to positively impact the sector as most of the companies are likely to have higher than stipulated capital expenditure for investment allowance.

The Budget has also laid emphasis on the need for sustained thrust on infrastructure to stimulate the demand for steel. Provisions such as Tax free bonds of Rs. 500bn have been allowed for the financing infrastructure projects in FY13-14. The impetus is also on promoting housing for low/medium income groups with additional deduction of interest being allowed on the first home loan up to Rs2.5mn. Faster progress is also expected to be made on the Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Corridor and setting of 3 new ports.

The proposed increase in excise duty from NIL to 4% on silver manufactured from zinc/lead smelting is expected to be marginally negative for Hind Zinc and would be negated to some extent through passing on the costs to the buyers. The increase in import duty on thermal coal is expected to be negative for base metal producers who use mix of domestic and imported thermal coal for producing captive thermal power for their smelting process. However, the proposed export duty on bauxite is increased from NIL to 10% is expected to be positive for Indian aluminium companies as for some it would reduce the price of domestic bauxite and for some it would lead to higher realisation on improved international alumina prices.

So who wins this year?

The reductions in export duty of galvanized steel sheets is marginally positive as Indian Companies in the sector produce around 4 mtpa of galvanized steel but have not been able to make much headway in international markets as it was uncompetitive for them due to the prevailing duty. Reduction in the duty to nil is expected to help them to make exports competitive and improve sales revenue.  Also budget is positive for domestic commercial coal producers as realizations under e-auction route would increase due to net 3% increase in import duty and CVD on imported thermal coal.

Want the stalwart of the industry analyze the budget for you? Click here.

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